JF Ptak Science Books LLC Post 661
These original sheets were, it seems, prepared for an illustrated (1973) talk on a statistical model for the detection of anti-submarine warfare threats—unfortunately I’m at a loss to distinguish much of importance here, though I’m sure that someone who is the least bit familiar with defense modeling and simulation would instantly and easily interpret theserelatively simple images. I’m presenting them here because they are to me an example of excellent presentation, design and logic—a fine symbol for the presentation of graphical information in a pre-PowerPoint past.
The work is that of Peter Luster, an analyst who seems to
have worked in the 1960’s and 1970’s for the thinktank John D. Kettelle Corp of
These seem to comprise something like author/speaker’s notes for overhead illustrations for a presentation on a computerized system for the receipt and processing (and summarizing?) of tactical intelligence data on the enemy’s intent on locating and destroying submarines.
What strikes me is the number of cut-outs and paste-ups and such that are part of each slide--every data point, and virtually every notation on each page has been pasted in. There's much more to this but these certainly give you a decent idea of the analyst/statistician/programmer/engineer bent over his desk doing surgery on his data.
Selected Research into Predictive Mechanisms for Antisubmarine Warfare. Abstract: The research described includes techniques for economizing the time to evaluate Bayes' formula using a general-purpose computer, time to compute Bayes' formula using special hardware, relationships between game theory and Bayesian techniques, and a suggested precise measure of the amount of information in data about searched-for objects. (Author)
A Test Bed for ASW Predictive Mechanisms - Concepts and Considerations, 01 OCT 1970 The concept of a test bed is a controlled, artificial, and reproducible environment for comparative testing of ASW predictive mechanisms. Concepts for a test bed are presented in terms of a computer program. Some of the underlying theoretical problems are addressed such as the role of Bayes' Theorem, completeness of mission specification, and estimating input probabilities. (Author)
An Introduction to the Geometry of Involute Traps, (1998)Dodson,Livingston,
D. Abstract: The involute of
a circle arises in the study of certain pursuit problems. The pursuer can use
these curves, in a manner of speaking, to form 'involute traps' in which to
catch a would-be evader.
Methodology for Evaluation of Task Force Defense Concepts-CTG (Carrier Task Group) Defense Effectiveness in a Multithreat Environment. (1998) Luster, Peter K., Palmer,Wilfred Abstract: The report presents the results of the most recent research efforts (October, 1973) in a continuing investigation into the development of methodology for evaluating task force defense concepts.